UFC 313 Picks: Pereira Vs Ankalaev DFS Preview & Predictions

Rajiv Sharma

5 min read

Post on May 04, 2025

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Pereira vs Ankalaev: Main Event Showdown & DFS Implications

The main event between Alex Pereira and Magomed Ankalaev is a clash of styles with significant DFS implications. Pereira, known for his devastating striking power, will face Ankalaev's formidable wrestling and grappling. This matchup presents several potential scenarios, each impacting DFS scoring differently.

• Potential Fight Scenarios: An early Pereira knockout (KO/TKO) would yield massive DFS points, while a decision victory would result in fewer points. Ankalaev securing a submission would also be a high-scoring outcome, potentially exceeding Pereira's points in a decision win. A prolonged grappling match could lower both fighters' scores.

• DFS Risk vs. Reward: Pereira's high-risk, high-reward profile makes him an enticing but volatile DFS pick. His explosive striking power offers a chance at a quick knockout and significant points, but a loss via decision or submission would severely impact your lineup. Ankalaev, while less explosive, presents a more consistent, lower-risk option due to his superior grappling and cardio. His potential for a late-round surge also makes him a strong contender for a decision victory.

• Salary and Value: Consider the salary of each fighter on your chosen DFS platform (DraftKings, FanDuel, etc.). A high-salary fighter might not always be the best value; sometimes a slightly lower-priced fighter with a higher probability of a finish can provide better value.

• Key Considerations:

  • Pereira's striking power vs. Ankalaev's takedown defense and ground game. How well can Ankalaev avoid being hit cleanly?
  • Ankalaev's cardio and durability against Pereira's explosive, potentially tiring fighting style. Can Ankalaev withstand Pereira's assault for the full fight?
  • Potential for a late-round surge or early finish dramatically affecting DFS scores. An early knockout dramatically increases the fantasy points for one fighter.

Undercard Gems: Identifying DFS Value Plays in UFC 313

While the main event draws attention, UFC 313's undercard offers several opportunities to uncover hidden DFS gems. Focusing on fighters with favorable matchups, high finishing rates, and lower salaries can significantly boost your lineup's overall score.

• High-Value Undercard Fights: [Insert specific undercard fights and fighters here, e.g., "Bo Nickal's grappling dominance makes him a strong value play against a less experienced opponent. His high probability of a submission win could significantly outweigh his salary."] [Add another example with a different fighter and justification.]

• Upset Potential: Don't overlook potential upsets! Research fighters with stylistic advantages against their opponents or those with recent performance improvements, even if they are underdogs. These can offer incredible value.

• Fighter Analysis: Analyze each fighter's recent performance history, including significant wins, losses, and fight metrics like significant strikes landed, takedown accuracy, and submission attempts. This detailed analysis will allow for better prediction of performance.

• DFS Salary Optimization: Always check the salary cap and prioritize fighters who offer the best potential points per dollar spent. A fighter with a slightly lower salary and a high finishing rate can often outperform a more expensive, less consistent fighter.

DFS Strategy & Lineup Construction for UFC 313

Crafting a winning DFS lineup requires a strategic approach. Consider employing different strategies, balancing high-risk/high-reward picks with safer, more consistent options.

• Lineup Construction Strategies:

  • Balanced Approach: Mix high-priced, high-potential fighters with lower-priced fighters with a high probability of winning.
  • High-Risk/High-Reward: Focus on fighters with high knockout power or submission skills, accepting higher risk for potentially higher rewards.
  • Value-Based Approach: Prioritize fighters with favorable matchups and low salaries, maximizing your value across the lineup.

• Site-Specific Strategies: DraftKings and FanDuel have different scoring systems and features. Tailor your strategy to each platform to maximize your chances of success. Pay attention to multipliers and bonus points for finishes.

• Fighter Matchups and Bonus Points: Consider the potential for bonus points awarded for knockouts, submissions, and performance of the fight bonuses. These bonuses can significantly impact your overall score.

• Adapting to Late News: Stay updated on any late news, including injuries or weight cuts that might affect fighter performance. Be prepared to adjust your lineup accordingly.

Managing Risk and Avoiding Common DFS Mistakes

Diversification is key to managing risk in UFC DFS. Avoid over-reliance on a single fighter, even if they are a highly favored pick. A single injury or upset can derail your entire lineup.

• Common Mistakes:

  • Chasing Points: Don't solely focus on the highest-projected scorers. Consider value and risk.
  • Ignoring Value: Don't overlook lower-priced fighters with high potential.
  • Lack of Diversification: Don't stack your lineup with fighters from the same fight, as this increases your risk.

• Best Practices:

  • Spread your picks across multiple fights and weight classes.
  • Utilize multiple lineup construction strategies to hedge your bets.
  • Use player projections, but don't rely on them blindly. Consider your own research and analysis.

Conclusion

This UFC 313 DFS preview provided a comprehensive analysis of the Pereira vs Ankalaev main event and key undercard matchups. By considering the strategies and predictions outlined, you can optimize your DFS lineups and improve your chances of winning. Remember to factor in fighter matchups, potential for bonus points, and manage your risk effectively.

Call to Action: Ready to dominate your UFC 313 DFS contests? Use our expert UFC 313 picks and predictions to build your winning lineup! Don’t wait, start crafting your strategy now and claim your victory. Good luck with your UFC 313 DFS entries!