Who Will Win The 2024 Hart Trophy? Predicting The Winner From The Finalists

Rajiv Sharma

4 min read

Post on May 16, 2025

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Analyzing Top Contenders for the 2024 Hart Trophy

Winning the Hart Trophy requires more than just impressive personal stats. While points, goals, and assists are crucial, voters also consider a player's overall impact on their team's performance, plus/minus rating, and the narrative surrounding their season. Considering these factors, let's examine some of the leading contenders for the 2024 Hart Trophy.

Connor McDavid's Chances at a Third Hart Trophy

Connor McDavid, the captain of the Edmonton Oilers, is a perennial Hart Trophy favorite. His "McDavid Hart Trophy" aspirations are strong, given his consistent dominance. Analyzing his "Connor McDavid stats" over recent seasons reveals an unparalleled level of offensive production.

• Key Stats Projections: Another 120+ point season is entirely within the realm of possibility for McDavid.
• Potential Challenges: The Oilers' overall playoff success will significantly impact his Hart Trophy chances. Consistent regular season dominance, however, is critical.
• Team Performance Impact: McDavid's leadership and offensive prowess are indispensable to the Oilers' success. A deep playoff run would significantly boost his MVP chances.

Leon Draisaitl's Path to the Hart Trophy

Leon Draisaitl, McDavid's linemate on the Edmonton Oilers, is another serious contender for the "Draisaitl Hart Trophy." His "Leon Draisaitl stats" consistently show him as one of the league's top point producers. While playing alongside McDavid might dilute his individual awards recognition, his contributions are immense.

• Key Stats Projections: Draisaitl's scoring ability could net him another 100+ point season.
• Potential Challenges: The shared spotlight with McDavid could overshadow his individual contributions in Hart Trophy voting.
• Team Performance Impact: Similar to McDavid, the Oilers' overall success directly impacts Draisaitl's chances for the award.

Auston Matthews' Contention for the Hart Trophy

Auston Matthews, the star center for the Toronto Maple Leafs, is another strong contender. His "Matthews Hart Trophy" odds are high because of his reputation as an elite goal scorer. Examining his "Auston Matthews stats" shows consistent high goal totals.

• Key Stats Projections: Matthews' goal-scoring prowess is expected to continue, putting him in the running for the Rocket Richard Trophy and a potential Hart Trophy.
• Potential Challenges: The Maple Leafs' playoff success (or lack thereof) will be a major factor in his Hart Trophy chances.
• Team Performance Impact: Leading the Maple Leafs to a deep playoff run would solidify his MVP case considerably.

Dark Horse Candidates for the 2024 Hart Trophy

While McDavid, Draisaitl, and Matthews are frontrunners, several dark horse candidates could unexpectedly emerge.

Nathan MacKinnon’s Potential for a Breakthrough Season

Nathan MacKinnon, a Colorado Avalanche superstar, is known for his incredible skill and speed. "MacKinnon Hart Trophy" talk might not be prevalent currently, but a healthy and dominant season could place him firmly in the conversation.

• Reasons for Potential Surge: A return to full health and improved team chemistry could propel MacKinnon to an MVP caliber season.
• Areas of Improvement: Maintaining consistent performance throughout the season is key.
• Team Context: The Avalanche's overall performance is crucial to MacKinnon's Hart Trophy chances.

Factors Influencing the 2024 Hart Trophy Race

Beyond individual brilliance, several factors influence the "NHL Hart Trophy voting" process.

• Team Success: Players on successful teams generally have a significant advantage.
• Injuries: Injuries to key players can dramatically alter the landscape.
• Playoff Performance: While regular season dominance is important, playoff success often adds weight to an MVP candidacy.
• Narrative Around the Award: The "story" of a player's season, including overcoming adversity or achieving unexpected milestones, can significantly influence voting.

Conclusion: Who Will Win the 2024 Hart Trophy? Our Prediction and Call to Action

Based on our analysis of the top contenders and dark horse candidates, and considering the various factors influencing the "Hart Trophy predictions 2024," our prediction for the 2024 Hart Trophy winner is Connor McDavid. His consistent dominance, offensive prowess, and the potential for another exceptional season give him a considerable edge. The "2024 Hart Trophy winner" will undoubtedly be a player who delivered exceptional performances and impacted their team's success significantly. However, the race is far from over, and many other skilled players are potential contenders for the title of "NHL MVP."

Now it's your turn! Share your "2024 Hart Trophy winner" predictions and "Hart Trophy prediction" in the comments below. Let's discuss and debate who will ultimately claim this prestigious award! What are your "NHL MVP predictions"?